Guatemala stunned Suriname 3-1 on November 19, 2025, at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in Guatemala City, turning a tense qualifying campaign into something far more hopeful. The win, sealed by goals from Darwin Lom, Olger Escobar, and Óscar Santis—plus an own goal by Suriname’s Nicolás Samayoa—was more than just three points. It was a lifeline. After a frustrating 1-1 draw in Suriname on October 10, 2025, Guatemala needed this performance. And they delivered, in front of a roaring crowd that hadn’t seen their team win in over six months. The result pushed Guatemala to five points in Concacaf’s Third Round, Group A, while Suriname remained tied atop the table with Panama at nine points. But here’s the thing: Guatemala isn’t out yet. Not even close.
From Frustration to Firepower
The first half was a study in tension. Neither team could find rhythm. Suriname, sitting deep and compact, looked like they were trying to hold on to their top spot. Guatemala, meanwhile, looked tentative—almost unsure if they belonged in this race. But then, at the 49th minute, everything changed. Darwin Lom, the 23-year-old forward who’s been quietly building a reputation as Guatemala’s most reliable finisher, pounced on a loose ball after a scramble in the box. He didn’t celebrate wildly. He just turned, clenched his fist, and sprinted toward the corner flag. That goal didn’t just break the deadlock—it broke Suriname’s composure.By the 57th minute, Olger Escobar, the 21-year-old midfielder who’s been called up for his relentless work rate, made it 2-0. A quick one-two with Rudy Muñoz, a quick cut inside, and a low drive that slipped past goalkeeper Warner Hahn. The crowd roared. The players hugged. The bench erupted. And then, at 65’, Óscar Santis sealed it. The assist? A perfectly weighted pass from Muñoz, who’d been the quiet architect all night. "Such a well-waited ball," the Concacaf YouTube highlights narrated. "Santis through on goal... rounding the goalkeeper and finishing it off for Guatemala." It was clinical. And it was exactly what Guatemala needed: not luck, not chaos, but precision.
Suriname’s Struggles and the Own Goal
Suriname, despite holding top spot on goal difference, looked increasingly brittle. Their defense, which had held firm through five matches, began to crack under pressure. Their midfield, led by Jonathan Fonkel and Radinio Balker, couldn’t sustain possession. And their attack? Stranded. Becker, their most dangerous forward, was subbed off at halftime after looking visibly off the pace. The final blow came in stoppage time: Nicolás Samayoa, trying to clear a cross, misjudged the bounce and sent the ball into his own net. It wasn’t just a goal—it was a symbol. Suriname had dominated the early group stage, but now they looked like a team running on fumes. They’ve drawn three of their last five. That’s not a strategy. That’s a crisis.
The Standings: A Tight Race With One Path Forward
After six matches, the Group A table tells a story of near misses and narrow margins:- Suriname: 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) — +5 goal difference
- Panama: 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) — +2 goal difference
- Guatemala: 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) — -1 goal difference
- El Salvador: 3 points (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses) — -6 goal difference
Only the top two qualify automatically for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, jointly hosted by Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Third place? That’s a playoff ticket—a one-off, winner-takes-all match against a team from another confederation. Guatemala is now just four points behind Suriname and Panama. With two games left, they’re alive. But they need results. And they need them fast.
What’s Next for Guatemala?
Guatemala’s next match is away to El Salvador on November 22, 2025. A win there would be massive—especially after El Salvador’s 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Panama in their last outing. Then comes the final fixture: home against Panama on November 26. That’s the real test. Beat Panama, and Guatemala could leapfrog into second. Lose, and they’re staring down a playoff that could end in a single, brutal 90 minutes in a neutral stadium. The pressure is immense. But so is the opportunity. This isn’t just about World Cup dreams. It’s about legacy. For players like Santis and Escobar, this could be their only shot at football’s biggest stage.
Why This Matters Beyond the Scoreline
The Concacaf region is getting stronger. More teams are investing in youth academies. More players are emerging from leagues outside the MLS. Suriname, once considered a minnow, is now a top-two contender. Guatemala, long overshadowed by Mexico and the U.S., is showing signs of resurgence. And with the 2026 World Cup expanding to 48 teams, the number of qualifying slots for Concacaf has jumped from 3.5 to 6. That means more chances. More hope. More stories like this one.For fans in Guatemala City, the chants echoing off the concrete stands weren’t just noise. They were a promise. We’re not done yet.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this win affect Guatemala’s chances of reaching the 2026 World Cup?
Guatemala’s 3-1 win over Suriname lifts them to five points in Group A, keeping them within four points of the automatic qualifying spots. With two matches remaining, they must beat El Salvador and hope for a Panama loss or draw to have a realistic shot at second place. A win against Panama on November 26 could propel them into the top two. Otherwise, they’ll enter the inter-confederation playoff, where they’d face a team from Asia, Africa, or Oceania in a single-elimination match.
Why did Suriname struggle despite leading the group?
Suriname has drawn three of their last five matches, including the 1-1 stalemate with Guatemala on October 10. While they’ve remained unbeaten, their lack of decisive attacking performances and defensive lapses—like Nicolás Samayoa’s 90'+3 own goal—reveal fragility. Their midfield lacks creativity, and their forwards haven’t converted chances consistently. With Panama matching their points but scoring more efficiently, Suriname’s lead is thinning.
Who are the key players for Guatemala in this qualifying run?
Darwin Lom has emerged as the team’s primary goal threat with three goals in six matches. Olger Escobar, the 21-year-old midfielder, has become the engine of their attack, while Óscar Santis delivered the decisive goal against Suriname. Rudy Muñoz, though not a scorer, has been vital as the playmaker, providing two assists in the last two matches. Goalkeeper Rudy Muñoz has also improved dramatically since the October draw, making key saves under pressure.
What’s the significance of the Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in this campaign?
The Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, with its 10,000-seat capacity and electric home atmosphere, has become Guatemala’s fortress in this qualifying cycle. They’ve won all three of their home matches in Group A, including this 3-1 win over Suriname. The pitch conditions, altitude, and fan support have consistently disrupted visiting teams. Suriname, playing away for the first time since October, looked visibly unsettled—a contrast to their confident display in their home stadium.
How does the expanded 2026 World Cup format help smaller Concacaf nations?
The 2026 World Cup will feature 48 teams, up from 32, and Concacaf’s allocation has increased from 3.5 to 6 qualifying spots. That means even teams like Guatemala and Suriname, historically seen as underdogs, now have two realistic paths: top two for automatic qualification, or third place for a playoff. This expansion has leveled the playing field, giving smaller nations more incentive to invest in development and more hope that their fans might one day see them on the world stage.
When will the next Concacaf qualifying matches take place?
The final two matchdays of the Concacaf Third Round occur on November 22 and November 26, 2025. Guatemala faces El Salvador away on the 22nd, then hosts Panama on the 26th. Suriname plays Panama on the 22nd and El Salvador on the 26th. Results from these games will determine who qualifies directly and who enters the inter-confederation playoffs, which are scheduled for March 2026.